My 28-day slope just crossed the line I drew in January

2026-10-07 17:27

I built a tab with a 28-day moving average and a separate 7-day one, mostly because the daily number is noise. This morning the 28-day line hit 214.6, which is 0.4 under the checkpoint I penciled in back in January. Not the final destination, but the first one I actually wrote down.

The weird part: my weekly average is still bouncing between 215.8 and 216.4, so if I only looked at Sundays I'd think nothing changed. The trendline says otherwise. I've been logging protein, steps, and whether I ate after 9 p.m.; the only column that correlates with the slope is the late-night one, which is annoying because I wanted it to be steps.

I'm not throwing a party over 0.4, but I am updating the cell color.

Question for the data people: do you trust a 28-day slope more than a weekly average, or am I just dressing up impatience as math?

2026-10-10 00:58

Congrats on hitting the penciled line. I live for the 28-day too—my 7-day is basically a toddler with a sugar rush.

One thing that helped me stop refreshing: I jot the 28-day number on the fridge whiteboard every Sunday, next to the kids’ spelling list. If it’s lower than last week, I don’t celebrate with food; I restock the snack drawer with the stuff that doesn’t yell at me at 4pm (string cheese, popcorn bags, cut strawberries).

Curious: does your weekly bounce track with weekends

2026-10-15 13:55

Congrats on hitting the pencil line! I live out of hotels and airports, so my 7-day is basically a sodium-and-flight-schedule mood ring while the 28-day is the actual adult in the room.

When my 28 crosses before my 7, it’s usually a run of restaurant meals plus water weight lagging behind. Sharp question: was 214.6 a normal at-home morning weigh-in, or did you just come off a trip?

If it was post-travel, that 7-day bounce might calm down fast. Also, do you log the checkpoint date or just the number?

I put mine in my calendar with a dumb emoji so I don’t quietly move the goalposts.